Sean t rcp twitter
Things will change, and the voters will get another say in two years. Sean Trende is senior elections analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is a co-author of the 2014 Almanac of American Politics and ...
Oct 26, 2022 · “Look, it sounds like the debate is an utter disaster for him. But few will watch it, and it's a hard thing to go on the attack about without inspiring a backlash. This hurts Fetterman, but I don't think things have shifted all that dramatically.”
Sean T at RCP on Twitter ... Log inSean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.“@speechboy71 I can absolutely buy he's solid. Honestly, I just have a lawyer friend on Facebook claiming this is obviously unethical of Mueller, and I'm trying to figure out independently what the issues are. I don't know why people are going DefCon 1 …“McAuliffe starting to get some more results above the line. Also, moving the threshold up to 85% reporting. City of Richmond hasn't started to come in yet, and Fairfax is still largely outstanding. This is still very interesting.”May 27, 2022 · “If you don't want to know about the horse race, it's a big internet! Lots of people write about policy. In fact, there are more of them than there are of us, in part because there's no real mystery about the types of policy the GOP will at least nominally pursue. 3/” . Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende , dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. Sean T at RCP is a free elf 2020/03/19/coronavirus-effect-economy-life-society-analysis-covid-135579
“@Graniteprof @dandrezner @ErinBurnettCNN People aren't marching on the capitol building, so maybe "backlash" is too strong in our current climate, but yeah.”Since Twitter seems reasonably likely to go away in the next couple of years, my 2c: Obvs the site is miserable, but there's an entire generation of top-notch young analysts like @JMilesColeman who probably would have gone unnoticed but for Twitter. 1/ 31 Oct 2022 01:42:44“@varadmehta Probably more of the latter. The D is a touch behind Biden's vote share. The independent that got ~3% is a former GOP statewide officeholder turned libertarian turned independent.”1 Tem 2023 ... Future Healthc J: Vol. 10, Issue 2 (July 2023) · EDITORIAL · MENTAL HEALTH SPECIAL · ORIGINAL RESEARCH · REVIEW · CASE STUDY · SHORT QI REPORT.“@speechboy71 I can absolutely buy he's solid. Honestly, I just have a lawyer friend on Facebook claiming this is obviously unethical of Mueller, and I'm trying to figure out independently what the issues are. I don't know why people are going DefCon 1 …Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "So my Voting & Participation class drew an Ohio map without ever turning on the political map, and came up with this. It isn't 100% …In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users
“@SethAMandel @varadmehta The basic observation about Biden being boring and that making him a tough opponent is basically correct, but it is also why the attempts to shoehorn his first 100 days into a transformative, FDR-like presidency is …Twitter is a popular social network in the U.S, with an audience reach of 77.75 million users, and a global advertising audience of 187 million. The first step to advertising on Twitter is creating a Twitter ads account. Go to Twitter.com a...Log in. Sign up“And we're probably just interested in that statement for the actual fact that Trump tried to commandeer the Secret Service vehicle. Now there are about a billion exceptions to the hearsay rule. 6/”Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked …
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Team with biggest starting budget in Football Manager 2024 aren't playable on the game. Four out of the top five teams with the highest transfer budgets in Football Manager 2024 are not playable ...Just astonishing. https://t.co/O0qszz9IqG" / Twitter. Sean T at RCP is a free elf. @SeanTrende. This is sort of how I felt seeing some of the shifts in Appalachia in 2010, or blue collar areas in 2016.In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersSean Hannity, the popular conservative political commentator and author, has never been divorced. There were allegations spreading concerning his divorce, however, these allegations turned out to be merely rumors. He has been married to his...In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users
Log in. Sign up Since Twitter seems reasonably likely to go away in the next couple of years, my 2c: Obvs the site is miserable, but there's an entire generation of top-notch young analysts like @JMilesColeman who probably would have gone unnoticed but for Twitter. 1/ 31 Oct 2022 01:42:44 Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked …“I mean, Cameron County 50-50 with half the vote counted? Obama beat Romney here by 30 points. He won Willacy County by 40 (which is also tied right now). I mean later votes will probably shift things but the fact that this is even close in a congressional race . . .”“The people hunting “deplorables” ARE THE BAD GUYS. Seriously, it’s about an uprising against a bunch of effete, entitled international elites in cars with EU plates led by a Mississippian in a body-suit apparently modeled …In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersWe all know that some people are just predisposed to say stupid things. Still, it’s one thing to see it on Twitter and another to hear it from the mouth of the person sleeping next to you. It’s not your fault.In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersSean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. Take a random sample of NFL wideouts and NBA guards, train them up from a young age to be soccer players, and we would have a premier team. Our standout athletes have all …
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“But if things get much worse for Dems and Republicans start to flip Biden 55/56/57 seats (in expectation) the losses can pile up very quickly. Basically around R+5 or so, the levy breaks. 3/3”May 10, 2021 · “Gen X is gonna get skipped over for presidents until we're 80 years old like the Silents. No respect.” “Oh FFS. 1/”Home » Tweets to Sean T at RCP. Tweets to Sean T at RCP. Twitter handle: @seantrende. Name: Sean T at RCP. Location: Followers: 46728. Bio: ... Co-Author, Almanac Am. Pols. 2014. Recovering Attorney. If you think this has a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention. Tweets to this user: From @DLeonhardt Sun, Sep 15, 2019 at 5:18 pm.In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersNov 2, 2021 · “I've done these before and they are a handy way to see what the votes mean. Basically, once counties clear a certain number of votes in, this take them and compares them to 2017 results, with 4.5% taken off the 2017 results (since Northam won by 9). 1/” “This histogram of Ohio precincts by Democratic share of the two-party vote really shows the Democrats' problem in a nutshell: Democrats have a significant number of precincts where Biden got 75% of the vote or more; Trump has comparatively few.”“This is insane. 20 years ago the all-in at Duke Law (tuition, living expenses, books) was about $40k. I don’t think the education provided has improved *that* much.”Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked …
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24 May 2016 ... For the first time, national polls show Hillary Clinton has lost her edge and might even be falling behind presumptive Republican nominee Donald ...Jul 27, 2020 · “There are obviously answers to all of this -- if there weren't I would not have led with him losing four of five times or so. The point is, though, that he's not THAT far off where he needs to be to be back in this. 9/9” “Oh FFS. 1/”Nov 8, 2018 · In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users Jun 28, 2022 · “Trying to think of a more consequential shift than Barrett for Ginsburg. Maybe Black for Van Devanter in the 30s, but Roberts already flipped. Thomas for Marshall? Ginsburg-for-White next year cancels, Souter goes left.Maybe Goldberg for Frankfurter, giving Warren 5 solid votes.” “One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/”Log in. Sign up“@nataliemj10 @rp_griffin Oh I think it's probably maybe 5-10% of the population (though overrepresented on social media). But I also think the motivator for a large chunk of that isn't really safety.” ….
In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“@BenjySarlin This is one of the key reasons we have such wide bands on our "tossup" category for now. No one really knows how to model this thing.”So we were probably already headed for a significant shift in seats, compounded by this. Add in that there's probably going to be a substantial movement of populations *within* states, and things are going to get bad, real quick. 2/“This is really straightforward, and it's one of those things that separates serious people from unserious ones in my mind. Heck, even if the blame ultimately falls with the GOP voters, there's no justification for becoming a …“@BenjySarlin @_Jon_Green @EsotericCD Don't want to belabor the point, but I do keep coming back to: This looks waaaaaay different from exurban OH than NYC. Out here we aren't using our excess hospital capacity, we're testing entire prison populations, our statewide death total is about 3% of NYC daily, etc. 1/”“I've been mulling over some of the defenses of Australia's anti-COVID regime from liberal friends, and the ACLU's defense of vaccine mandates. I can't decide if this is a one-off, or some greater shift in American liberalism. 1/”“@ThePlumLineGS @billscher So I'm pretty comfortable saying they'd have gotten something through absent the strictures of reconciliation. And remember, with regular order you don't have to go all-or-nothing. You can do a *ton* through appropriations riders, which give nervous members cover.”On the fringes, Johnson seems to have weathered the storm in WI, and is probably headed for a third term, although a systemic poll error against Rs could create a ...“One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/” Sean t rcp twitter, [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1]